TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes26c150,384$38,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,989.514153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No74c150,000$111,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,999.991643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes26c5,715$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5139636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes59c2,906$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.7767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c2,883$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9240046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes27c2,296$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6104447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No75c2,270$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c1,628$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.344,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes24c1,509$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36418740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39026444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes27c1,389$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3757732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes71c1,371$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c1,369$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.3590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed No76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.792433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes25c1,210$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes10c1,074$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.157839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27022050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7102100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+186.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No75c980$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No22c867.75$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.1279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes12c835.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes15c648.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes26c538.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes14c491.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.245451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c12…93a7backed Yes13c483.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8909…290cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes11c319.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.167139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes5c305.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b66…e90abacked Yes75c273.26$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Yes26c273.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.01742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…e940backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Yes73c223.38$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307328.8%21 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes72c173.07$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.614422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c171.56$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4625545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes58c169.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.326548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No24c143.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb47…c6e8backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes24c124.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.895232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb8…536fbacked Yes32c114.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes14c107.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes24c105.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.411527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11df…731fbacked No19c105.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.682250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes25c102$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7227752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…739bbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8d2…96cabacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes25c93.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.364242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177455.4%41 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes11c87.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c90…d54bbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x954b…2eecbacked Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes15c67.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…7355backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146851.5%35 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes32c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.283348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe397…4003backed Yes75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes77c51.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f7…e22cbacked Yes78c51.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd413…f838backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes25c45.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2929238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes27c43.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.775149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc2…4449backed Yes72c43.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No31c42.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.517252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc435…304ebacked Yes25c40.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes53c38.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d33…1d5dbacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Yes40c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.885259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Yes78c19.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.486860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.