TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c60…ea1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT6368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$5.58
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$23.51
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$19.01
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$4.02
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$10.37
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.52
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.38
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.27
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$23.12
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.7%+$20.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.65
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.4%+$29.47
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$13.19
US strikes Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$16.71
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$13.98
Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$10.7
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$30.65
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.26
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+220.9%+$77.31
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.88
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.44
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.65
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+209.3%+$31.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31%+$8.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.8
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$12.04
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$19.4
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.