TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 5.5of Over 5.5, Under 5.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b51…e165backed Under 5.529c1,802$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Under 5.535c1,704$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0490863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Under 5.524c1,669$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.546639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd71c…de8dbacked Under 5.51c1,585$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under 5.527c1,143$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.091,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed Over 5.574c1,087$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf75…8964backed Under 5.529c1,022$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under 5.536c1,000$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Over 5.564c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Under 5.51c713.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over 5.568c701.18$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7536350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec5…257ebacked Over 5.569c600$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over 5.579c553.76$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.293545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Over 5.570c496.9$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.077869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Over 5.565c491$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.858353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under 5.524c405.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0541038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under 5.519c399.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7626048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Over 5.576c394.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9339864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over 5.573c378.45$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.452766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf928…ccc7backed Under 5.529c359.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Under 5.523c345.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.041540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad17…5ca6backed Over 5.578c336.98$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.982536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed Under 5.536c333.19$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.37230.6%22 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under 5.525c308.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.681,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e44…9d02backed Over 5.575c299.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Over 5.576c299.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked Under 5.523c248.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over 5.566c236.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.387448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0df…72d8backed Over 5.566c234.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fd…ca86backed Over 5.579c231.84$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.691450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e58…99b8backed Over 5.564c226$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.521471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over 5.575c203.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.741,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Over 5.574c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5356348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Over 5.572c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Over 5.572c170.03$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.033145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6851…2586backed Over 5.565c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Over 5.570c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Over 5.579c139.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.056336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff4…5806backed Under 5.536c139.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under 5.526c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0c…c8adbacked Under 5.529c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Over 5.564c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c43…31c1backed Over 5.575c119.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5212044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Over 5.573c109.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over 5.570c106.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.866152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f3…af78backed Over 5.566c105.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.782445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…99eebacked Over 5.572c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over 5.575c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa711…7f29backed Over 5.572c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f4…d10cbacked Over 5.579c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9d…4f61backed Over 5.580c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Under 5.522c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under 5.536c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9963353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c8d…f2a5backed Under 5.513c90.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over 5.578c89.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Under 5.536c85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Over 5.562c78.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Under 5.538c78.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e06…18bcbacked Over 5.572c75.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.06580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Under 5.529c71.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Over 5.573c68.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74472.7%32 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833d…6b3fbacked Over 5.571c67.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Under 5.523c67.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked Over 5.568c65.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+120.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc3e…a128backed Over 5.578c64.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+76.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under 5.536c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc4…dc4ebacked Over 5.578c54.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…cd77backed Under 5.532c54.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Under 5.537c54.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb802…e2c3backed Over 5.574c54.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over 5.564c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Under 5.529c51.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08da…11d2backed Over 5.569c50.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Over 5.575c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.560267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Under 5.521c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ae…479ebacked Over 5.579c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff18…d073backed Over 5.563c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over 5.563c44.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325e…2518backed Over 5.572c41.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over 5.563c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Over 5.564c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa6…e331backed Over 5.564c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4954…66d4backed Over 5.579c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Over 5.571c35.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.289271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x757b…62c8backed Over 5.564c31.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0918644.6%83 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd89…272ebacked Over 5.564c30.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…34a2backed Over 5.570c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96c…9014backed Over 5.571c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.65756.1%32 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405b…755cbacked Over 5.563c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.14864.6%31 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e8…3710backed Over 5.570c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…224abacked Over 5.574c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.172450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c60…ea1dbacked Over 5.573c20.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.586368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fb…57e5backed Over 5.576c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…9eddbacked Over 5.577c19.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c3…4d56backed Over 5.564c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed Over 5.580c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28269.5%57 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.