TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa711…7f29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$79.3
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$65.45
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$51.59
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$140.59
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+46%+$18.9
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+192.8%+$53.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$33.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+252.2%+$65.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.02
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$48
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$80.1
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$12.35
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2512%3 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.17
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.77
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+521.3%+$86.94
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$186
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+765.8%+$88.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.69
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.98
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$25.1
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissonbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+278.9%+$27.97
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$25.1
Zug: Thomas Faurel vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$34.44
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$40.4
Tampere: Daniel Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Estoril Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$33.3
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$16.69
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$23.44
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$16.69
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$23.44
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.