Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bbab54a05400400c4f651fe448a21d0043c61d85503665bfa4f9b99a97a613

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $937,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $421,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,736 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	35,355$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	0c	29,999$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	0c	28,227$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.38	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	24,699$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.31	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	22,538$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.15	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	0c	22,222$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	20,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.9	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	18,390$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.73	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	16,153$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.74	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	2c	14,633$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.22	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	13,366$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.18	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	3c	11,257$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.49	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cf…e421backed Yes	0c	10,080$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…bd23backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	9,734$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.21	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	0c	8,866$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	7,548$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.7	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	1c	7,060$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	0c	6,932$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	6,348$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.31	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes	4c	5,299$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.01	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	5,226$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.53	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	5,153$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	7c	5,028$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.28	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	4c	5,000$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	2c	4,318$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.42	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	4,232$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.26	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	8c	4,213$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.03	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	0c	4,150$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	10c	4,128$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.55	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	3,998$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.72	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	3c	3,985$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.96	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	1c	3,823$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	3,807$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.72	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	3,590$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.73	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	3,549$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.37	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,513$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.87	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	14c	3,364$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.37	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	3,154$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.6	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	2c	3,011$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.66	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	4c	3,000$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	2,821$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.82	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	9c	2,798$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.62	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	2,755$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.11	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	2,755$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.4	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	5c	2,601$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.83	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	2,587$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	4c	2,573$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.5	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	9c	2,557$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.29	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	4c	2,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	2,376$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.74	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	2c	2,346$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…5a68backed Yes	1c	2,314$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fa…939ebacked Yes	0c	2,292$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	2,255$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.81	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	2,221$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcade…db51backed Yes	2c	2,200$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	2,096$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.25	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	1c	1,983$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fe…5691backed Yes	1c	1,964$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,922$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.62	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	10c	1,890$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.33	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	1,850$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742c…0eedbacked Yes	1c	1,810$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaed4…09afbacked Yes	1c	1,761$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	3cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,760$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.69	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	1,710$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	3c	1,685$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	1c	1,669$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…5c94backed Yes	1c	1,650$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9480…a200backed Yes	2c	1,621$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	9c	1,554$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.88	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	2c	1,524$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	1c	1,524$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…27efbacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	4c	1,500$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	4c	1,500$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	1,496$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	7c	1,490$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa08b…238cbacked Yes	2c	1,445$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	1c	1,402$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	1c	1,400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…fed9backed Yes	2c	1,386$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…69d5backed Yes	11c	1,371$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes	2c	1,347$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	2c	1,252$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes	1c	1,226$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	1c	1,187$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes	1c	1,181$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f2…5b04backed Yes	2c	1,137$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	4c	1,116$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bc…8613backed Yes	2c	1,112$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes	3c	1,100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event