Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c661c2a79a7d6b59e7b35de300400c75e0a67539882fcbea64de4a03843d2a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $552,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x275d…6b0cbacked Yes	0c	81,375$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	46,592$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.91	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	0c	16,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	15,862$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.73	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	18c	15,009$2,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,697.07	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	12,812$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.89	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	1c	12,327$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	9,530$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.9	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	8,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	7,173$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.91	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	5,635$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.37	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	1c	5,140$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	5c	4,289$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.24	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	4,281$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.34	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	4c	4,062$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.42	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	10c	4,000$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.87	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	3,660$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	13c	3,512$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.24	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	4c	3,487$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.67	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	12c	3,446$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.55	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	16c	3,178$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	3,100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	3,053$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	3,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	3,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.9	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	2,911$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	2,791$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.02	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	4c	2,499$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.68	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	3c	2,355$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.58	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	1c	2,321$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.16	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	15c	2,258$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.93	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,212$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.16	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,170$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	7c	2,000$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	1,959$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.54	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	1,957$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.9	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	8c	1,938$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.72	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	1,664$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	5c	1,450$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.61	252	11.5%29 W · 223 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	16c	1,437$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.06	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	1,421$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.68	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27a…d7f3backed Yes	4c	1,307$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.36	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	16c	1,285$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7df…0723backed Yes	8c	1,266$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.85	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	1,219$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.32	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	2c	1,195$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	5c	1,190$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.76	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	1,190$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	15c	1,185$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.38	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x271f…b8ebbacked Yes	6c	1,180$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.06	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,175$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.7	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	7c	1,110$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	7c	1,036$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	6c	1,008$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	1,008$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.72	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	13c	1,000$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.99	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	964.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	963.37$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	955.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	943.84$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.77	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	9c	938.83$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.88	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	6c	915.79$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	913.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.27	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	20c	896.5$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.84	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	868.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0759…a93dbacked Yes	8c	829.67$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.64	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	14c	750.89$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	3c	698.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	692.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…1b37backed Yes	8c	656.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	14c	636.68$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.46	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	10c	611.55$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.25	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	7c	601.23$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	19c	582.53$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	80c	543.01$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.98	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	6c	536.03$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4962…f1b2backed Yes	19c	515.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	11c	503.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5afb…d66dbacked Yes	18c	500$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	5c	499.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1faf…3b02backed Yes	20c	498.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	17c	479.99$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.54	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	21c	459.98$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.2	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	8c	452.57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.82	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	79c	435.62$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.22	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	6c	435.38$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	7c	433.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	12c	423.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9cf…2546backed Yes	17c	415.02$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744a…0ea8backed Yes	6c	408$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	3c	402.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	8c	402.18$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes	8c	398.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	8c	397.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	21c	395$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.32	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	5c	383.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event