Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c024fe68e2820ca6b7d8a692d3cae2b4fd52f04eaf46dcb6f4a602251625f51

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $395,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,865 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	26,002$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.02	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	20,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.98	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	10,732$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.67	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	3c	7,461$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.46	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	7,414$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.62	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	7,267$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	6,772$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.33	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	5,802$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.98	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	3c	5,005$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.05	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	5,000$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.58	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	3c	3,817$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.45	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	2c	3,556$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.71	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	3,478$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.27	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	3,400$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	2c	3,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	3,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	2,973$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	2,500$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	9c	2,341$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	7c	2,183$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.83	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	6c	2,130$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.9	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	8c	1,982$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes	7c	1,879$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.61	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7df…0723backed Yes	6c	1,843$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.08	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	12c	1,767$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	8c	1,681$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.15	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	1,569$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	1,512$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.08	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	4c	1,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	1,470$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,413$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc27a…d7f3backed Yes	4c	1,411$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	4c	1,394$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,356$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fe…5691backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3915…74b2backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…5c94backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…f5c9backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	1,200$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.74	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	4c	1,107$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	9c	1,104$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	8c	1,100$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.2	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	1,040$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.61	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…1b37backed Yes	4c	1,028$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	949.97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	916.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	10c	902.44$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.1	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	900.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	6c	889$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.21	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	6c	844.33$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.97	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	4c	827.94$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	2c	788.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	5c	751.77$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	729.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	8c	721.69$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	4c	648.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	6c	641.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.04	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	4c	610.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	9c	571.1$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.89	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	4c	524.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	8c	512.56$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	6c	512.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	501.01$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	4c	495$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	11c	484.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.98	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3176…3990backed Yes	4c	473.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	8cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	3c	445.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	444$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes	5c	424.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	4c	419.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744a…0ea8backed Yes	4c	416.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	8c	410$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	5c	404.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	7c	399.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299a…3576backed Yes	5c	394.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1faf…3b02backed Yes	8c	388.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x271f…b8ebbacked Yes	8c	382.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	13c	377.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	5c	370.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes	5c	366.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	6c	362.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	6c	358.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8353…c9cdbacked Yes	4c	350$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	65	6.2%4 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	336.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	324.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	9c	300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa624…8f7abacked Yes	7c	280$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…b562backed Yes	9c	247.72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+124.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	13c	236$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1179…a07ebacked Yes	5c	193.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d02…fd07backed Yes	7c	176.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	6c	166.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	10c	161.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	8c	146.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	11c	144.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event