Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee629acb4a0a9189f794bd34048218b5c2159bf1e790ad8d0cca0c5be87e469

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $785,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $508,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	31,148$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.07	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	24,193$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.93	1,035	10.5%109 W · 926 L	-32.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	0c	20,936$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	11,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	436	19.3%84 W · 352 L	+24.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	10,669$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.68	1,799	7.4%133 W · 1,666 L	-24.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	5c	10,000$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.91	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	456	11.6%53 W · 403 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	12c	9,697$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.74	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	22c	9,110$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,993.39	150	28%42 W · 108 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	9,047$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.15	1,209	8.7%105 W · 1,104 L	+31.6wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	8,035$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.4	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	9c	7,347$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.1	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5359…6b35backed Yes	19c	7,201$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.48	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	3c	7,164$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.8	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	6,905$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.32	550	22.5%124 W · 426 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-37%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	3c	5,968$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.65	218	22%48 W · 170 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	4c	5,942$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.64	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	5,752$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.34	1,083	8.2%89 W · 994 L	+28.5wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	5,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	809	11.1%90 W · 719 L	+29.7wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	4,987$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.83	530	10.6%56 W · 474 L	+17.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	18c	4,462$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.1	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	11c	4,143$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.11	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	4c	4,117$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	14c	4,000$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.38	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	4,000$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.5	582	8.1%47 W · 535 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	21c	3,930$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807	264	15.2%40 W · 224 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	21c	3,820$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.24	259	13.5%35 W · 224 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	0c	3,734$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	4c	3,665$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.4	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	19c	3,570$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.98	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	3,265$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.85	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	20c	3,130$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.9	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3024…b996backed Yes	0c	3,080$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	3,000$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	368	10.9%40 W · 328 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	10c	2,971$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.35	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	9c	2,897$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.22	584	22.1%129 W · 455 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	8c	2,895$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248a…22a7backed Yes	22c	2,895$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	2,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	4c	2,475$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	2,330$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	569	5.4%31 W · 538 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	2,307$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	463	8.2%38 W · 425 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,300$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.81	328	16.8%55 W · 273 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	9c	2,261$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.28	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	2,186$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	79c	2,106$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.34	213	57.3%122 W · 91 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	14c	2,102$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.63	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	16c	2,077$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.83	899	10.2%92 W · 807 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	19c	2,072$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.68	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	10c	2,000$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.96	411	23.1%95 W · 316 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	21c	2,000$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.5	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	1,932$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.39	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	17c	1,873$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.95	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	3c	1,740$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.36	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	16c	1,732$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.35	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	17c	1,732$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	2c	1,700$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	80c	1,641$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.06	894	17.1%153 W · 741 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	4c	1,625$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.78	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	1,590$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.61	587	11.4%67 W · 520 L	+20.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	18c	1,590$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.82	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	1,587$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	1c	1,584$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7df…0723backed Yes	17c	1,570$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.33	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	1c	1,546$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	16c	1,474$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.39	712	16.7%119 W · 593 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	7c	1,443$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.04	313	17.3%54 W · 259 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	7c	1,438$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.67	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	6c	1,400$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	20c	1,364$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	245	22.4%55 W · 190 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	11c	1,361$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.48	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	1,341$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	654	11%72 W · 582 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	1,305$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.09	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	20c	1,302$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.58	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	14c	1,252$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.97	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	1,222$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.68	1,062	13.7%145 W · 917 L	+38.5wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	78c	1,212$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.99	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	5c	1,201$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x951a…6866backed Yes	13c	1,125$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+97%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	79c	1,111$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.75	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	10c	1,079$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.12	508	19.1%97 W · 411 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	1c	1,078$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	170	16.5%28 W · 142 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	4c	1,055$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	298	12.8%38 W · 260 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	4c	1,047$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	+607%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	14c	1,047$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.97	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	10c	1,043$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	19c	1,043$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.66	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	10c	1,021$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.04	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	6c	1,001$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	148	11.5%17 W · 131 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	222	5.9%13 W · 209 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842e…6ff9backed Yes	15c	1,000$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.08	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+62%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	20c	999.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	199	22.6%45 W · 154 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	14c	998.7$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.82	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	14c	995.28$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.55	72	20.8%15 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event