Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81341df359c0166a5efd34b0875266f466f36a5872431a7604c62164e9805dda

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,577,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,062,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,577,421 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 796 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	5c	113,438$5,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,198.28	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	58,888$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.55	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	11c	55,793$6,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,066.59	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	0c	51,044$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee9…99e7backed Yes	0c	25,836$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.93	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63bd…aff2backed Yes	0c	25,121$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.98	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	22,605$2,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460.54	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	40c	19,789$7,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,872.52	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	20c	18,889$3,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,818.37	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	3c	18,025$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.5	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3d22backed Yes	2c	17,199$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.49	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19dd…2a97backed Yes	0c	16,095$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	15c	14,723$2,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,162.58	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	10c	14,151$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.72	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	22c	13,112$2,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,821.44	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	13,002$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	12,168$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.56	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	1c	11,111$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Yes	0c	10,417$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	92	32.6%30 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	8c	10,003$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.64	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	12c	9,686$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.5	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	38c	9,526$3,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,591.9	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	9,476$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.28	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	13c	8,848$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.11	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	11c	8,782$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.21	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	55c	8,771$4,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,959.72	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	8,700$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.86	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	9c	8,363$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.38	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	8,182$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.19	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	18c	8,120$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.96	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	15c	7,703$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.45	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	11c	7,698$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.12	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	14c	7,660$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.48	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	15c	7,623$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.13	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	13c	7,527$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.43	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	7,506$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.14	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	19c	7,069$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.38	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes	10c	5,883$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	31c	5,568$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.3	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	6c	5,389$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.02	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	10c	5,100$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.94	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	12c	4,872$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.53	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes	2c	4,841$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.13	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	10c	4,686$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.46	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	17c	4,549$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.34	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	55c	4,471$2,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.88	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	7c	4,400$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.6	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	48c	4,156$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.41	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked No	80c	4,000$3,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	17c	3,874$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.19	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	14c	3,734$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.35	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	9c	3,664$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.7	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	6c	3,589$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.58	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	10c	3,560$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.71	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	2c	3,502$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.92	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	16c	3,374$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.45	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400e…d95cbacked Yes	1c	3,345$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	14c	3,224$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.48	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	20c	3,224$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.47	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	21c	3,223$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.34	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes	17c	3,147$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.29	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aea…8951backed Yes	19c	3,144$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.64	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	7c	3,035$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.14	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	22c	3,026$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.41	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	6c	2,986$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.43	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	5c	2,968$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.13	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5190…a0f3backed Yes	3c	2,925$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5359…6b35backed No	67c	2,900$1,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.56	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	11c	2,884$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.67	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7f…079bbacked Yes	77c	2,880$2,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,230.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	70cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	13c	2,806$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.6	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	11c	2,744$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.79	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	13c	2,620$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.6	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	2,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…600fbacked Yes	4c	2,494$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	2,456$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.87	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc61…6d5fbacked Yes	8c	2,449$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.07	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	19c	2,448$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.65	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	10c	2,444$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.55	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	3c	2,441$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.72	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	12c	2,376$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.94	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	69c	2,334$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.5	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	52c	2,297$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.48	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	11c	2,289$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.74	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	17c	2,255$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.92	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	5c	2,251$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.94	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	8c	2,196$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.2	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	9c	2,150$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.47	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	11c	2,076$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.37	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	15c	2,067$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.85	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	12c	2,022$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.98	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	11c	2,000$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.03	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	7c	2,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	61c	1,996$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.11	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0468…4bd2backed Yes	2c	1,923$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	13c	1,915$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.67	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6c…7171backed No	71c	1,900$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.7	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	14c	1,857$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.88	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event