Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf038d340cab17d63330d04636b040b8cd8820c006c350eace4200c12348b4c9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $857,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $600,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,986 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	6c	70,512$4,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,215.56	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf461…061cbacked Yes	2c	34,381$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	23,115$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.29	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	18,321$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.67	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	0c	13,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	11,638$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.27	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	2c	11,501$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.06	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	0c	10,806$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	15c	10,064$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.28	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	10,000$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	9c	9,483$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.52	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	7,208$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.56	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	7,000$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.59	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	14c	6,691$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.86	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	6,347$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.3	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	24c	6,271$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,502	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	0c	5,399$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	8c	5,375$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.75	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	5,006$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.76	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	4,913$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.51	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	14c	4,800$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.81	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	2c	4,679$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.91	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	15c	4,628$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.34	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,479$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.11	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	20c	4,394$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.49	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	4c	4,355$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.12	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	2c	4,267$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.34	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	18c	4,000$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.95	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19dd…2a97backed Yes	1c	3,875$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	18c	3,697$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.17	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	23c	3,628$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.55	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b88…52e0backed Yes	0c	3,506$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes	1c	3,467$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	18c	3,353$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x248a…22a7backed Yes	22c	3,024$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.29	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	79c	3,014$2,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.06	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	3,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	19c	3,000$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.44	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	18c	2,984$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.6	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	20c	2,970$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.91	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	10c	2,955$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.19	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc61…6d5fbacked Yes	1c	2,931$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	20c	2,758$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.6	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	2,750$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	21c	2,700$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.9	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	2,700$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	72c	2,698$1,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.09	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	17c	2,606$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.41	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	18c	2,482$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.99	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	4c	2,438$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	5c	2,430$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.1	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	9c	2,401$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.3	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	22c	2,357$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.38	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	2c	2,300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.5	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	20c	2,292$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.53	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	2,257$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.02	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	80c	2,222$1,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.4	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	72c	2,100$1,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.98	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	13c	2,091$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.71	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	2,065$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5359…6b35backed Yes	26c	2,028$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.12	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	3c	2,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	3c	1,962$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.05	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	72c	1,927$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.96	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	21c	1,886$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.63	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	1,871$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	1,842$1,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.46	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	75c	1,800$1,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	25c	1,764$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.42	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	12c	1,708$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.6	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9704…e11bbacked Yes	1c	1,697$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	34cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	16c	1,671$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	19c	1,647$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.94	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Yes	23c	1,627$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.57	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	25c	1,600$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	24c	1,588$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.73	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed No	78c	1,570$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.1	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6858…7d47backed Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	1,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	3c	1,500$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	6c	1,488$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.78	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	23c	1,462$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	22c	1,450$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	1,403$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.06	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	23c	1,400$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.24	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	75c	1,400$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	25c	1,389$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.36	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	10c	1,369$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.45	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35ff…bfeebacked Yes	24c	1,365$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.37	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	17c	1,359$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.62	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	15c	1,357$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.58	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	76c	1,353$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.56	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes	1c	1,344$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	24c	1,338$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.98	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…fc85backed Yes	2c	1,322$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.19	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	26c	1,300$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.86	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event