TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26dc…e03a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
306
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20222.8%46 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+369.1%+$509.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+309.5%+$272.34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+377.7%+$169.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.71
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$62.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+257.5%+$436.62
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.98
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Oviedo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$124.91
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$63.81
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.81
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24.92
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.64
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.17
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.21
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Hangzhou Open: Yibing Wu vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.52
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$65.69
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Kecmanovic vs. Djokovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$93.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-70.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12.23
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Royalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$17.29
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.44
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$2.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$92.41
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Sloveniabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOIbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$34.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Wingsbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fnatic win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.