Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37824f7cd1dd19298bd9a5b81492b7802ddf0912674e891945eadd25319c9c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 75c | 16,481$12,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 75c | 14,216$10,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.39 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 13,195$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.35 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 26c | 6,556$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.49 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 5,929$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 2,381$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 26c | 2,026$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 1,359$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 19c | 1,332$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 24c | 1,155$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 75c | 1,014$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.51 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 48c | 746.25$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.3 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 39c | 515.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 24c | 506.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 68c | 486.92$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 26c | 483$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 25c | 438.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 76c | 427.27$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 66c | 376.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…d751backed Yes | 76c | 360.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 58c | 302.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 24c | 297$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 237.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 75c | 225.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 76c | 214$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 27c | 202.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 50c | 199.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 69c | 183.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 26c | 181.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 76c | 180.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 37c | 177.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 76c | 173.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e990backed Yes | 64c | 169.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 74c | 168.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 65c | 153.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 24c | 145.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 73c | 125.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 51c | 106.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 30c | 69.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 78c | 51.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…3e6dbacked Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…13e3backed Yes | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…9655backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 53c | 32.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 74c | 31.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Yes | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 21.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…ed80backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…ca81backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 77c | 15.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.