TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7237…ca81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+53.5%+$10.7
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$20.11
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
Chennai Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.56
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.2%+$6.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.