La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea83b296e885289ac5a2491a3bbf57d0eef0245515a0d692f29b554bff2dde94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,602,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,790,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,602,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 27c | 804,385$216,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,025.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 73c | 200,501$146,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,135.21 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 73c | 187,500$136,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,625 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 74c | 175,000$128,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,215.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 141,892$104,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,593.82 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 26c | 141,440$36,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,334.02 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 73c | 80,000$58,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 75c | 60,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 26c | 50,643$13,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,167.27 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 74c | 50,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.99 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 77c | 43,778$33,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,251.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 75c | 35,661$26,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.28 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 25c | 24,999$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 25c | 22,663$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.92 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 26c | 22,335$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,807 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 26c | 20,668$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.76 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 27c | 20,586$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.17 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 26c | 18,009$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 77c | 15,537$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 74c | 13,226$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 74c | 12,888$9,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.76 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 26c | 11,075$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.53 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 10,518$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…6476backed Yes | 75c | 9,177$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 74c | 8,981$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 26c | 7,489$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 73c | 7,397$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 68c | 7,038$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 6,960$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.63 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 74c | 6,286$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 6,133$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 73c | 5,544$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 73c | 5,162$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 5,100$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 27c | 4,941$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.33 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 71c | 4,338$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 21c | 4,128$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.56 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 75c | 4,106$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 75c | 3,998$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 74c | 3,870$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.2 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed No | 27c | 3,837$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 27c | 3,776$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 73c | 3,680$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 74c | 3,501$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.9 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 65cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 73c | 3,320$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 74c | 2,896$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,717$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 73c | 2,560$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.43 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Yes | 74c | 2,487$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 7c | 2,430$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 26c | 2,366$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 75c | 2,309$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.03 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 26c | 2,273$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 74c | 2,200$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 75c | 2,126$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,098$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,052$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…d751backed Yes | 74c | 2,031$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,963$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.92 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 74c | 1,921$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 27c | 1,800$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.19 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…6f8fbacked No | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 26c | 1,735$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.93 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 74c | 1,481$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 26c | 1,281$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,237$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…2851backed Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 73c | 1,190$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 74c | 1,154$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 75c | 1,089$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…3501backed Yes | 74c | 1,076$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 27c | 1,039$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…ed67backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 997$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 74c | 954.19$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 26c | 945$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 74c | 865.36$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…03fcbacked No | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.