La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce751066d5a63c8231cdc0cf6f209a8325458a52fc8304e8e5f64d369170c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 10c | 31,435$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 30,938$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 11c | 19,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 11c | 11,816$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.16 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…4e19backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…8cf0backed Yes | 11c | 6,498$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,050$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…de60backed Yes | 11c | 2,761$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 10c | 1,210$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 10c | 552.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 500.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 465.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 330.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 10c | 313.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 9c | 277.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…8699backed Yes | 11c | 201.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…0bfabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 6c | 191.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…10b7backed Yes | 11c | 190.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb3…caf3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 10c | 178.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…5f8bbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…2ce6backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…712fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…985cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…f7a3backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-23?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.