TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf07f…8a62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120.99
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$72
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186.34
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$289.8
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$247.2
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$164.08
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+77.3%+$261.32
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$187.74
Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$900
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brann win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$76.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$98.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.