TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x445e…9be0backed Yes42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked No61c5,797$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes39c4,797$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No57c4,660$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.392040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No58c4,020$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.49265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes37c3,200$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1838456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c2,599$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.983,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes31c2,595$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.2524557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes42c2,547$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.143740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No56c2,543$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9412269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No55c2,136$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.357851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No57c1,921$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes25c1,856$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7382744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No75c1,612$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9512166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes21c1,600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes20c1,344$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.211668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No59c1,312$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes23c1,269$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.428345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes45c1,244$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.666637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked No55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked No56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes45c1,113$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No56c1,111$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes19c1,079$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes40c1,067$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c1,003$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.355054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes39c863.64$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8220050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes43c581.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2212955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes45c551.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No57c502.98$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.28771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No57c433$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1910960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes8c420.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.672123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No54c413.85$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3727939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes6c399.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No55c395.87$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.45650%28 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes44c384.13$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44e…40b6backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No60c274.38$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.386753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfe…4341backed Yes44c238.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5859…7aadbacked Yes44c227.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No57c222$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.463672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5666…7949backed Yes46c217.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed No56c206.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No57c200.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.43464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c191.36$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.742,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes25c190.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.714658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Yes46c188$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c186.3$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes44c179.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x646b…256dbacked Yes43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes41c126.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.854052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No57c108.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.772958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes41c107.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed No57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.261566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes44c100.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.093158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x230b…d3d6backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7846…3a40backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07f…8a62backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8a…01f5backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes44c82.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed No57c78.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Yes44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.