TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No67c3,908$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.492268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c3,100$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93026022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No70c3,014$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.4112269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes30c2,926$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.354427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No54c2,493$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.977851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No68c2,077$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.645054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No49c2,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c1,896$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.743,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No67c1,850$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c1,754$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.532,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c1,413$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65074155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes73c1,404$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No78c1,383$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1612166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes24c1,068$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.944658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes31c954.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No67c925.37$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.372166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No71c824$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.962552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No69c784.66$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.661283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes32c782.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.315947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No37c780.38$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1712247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes71c755.77$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.630%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes34c636.74$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes34c632.35$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No80c611.67$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8224557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No70c475.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.712166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No67c451.43$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.436753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No74c400$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes33c333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.898129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed Yes59c323.28$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2d…82f1backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No70c246.91$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.071650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No69c224.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7415846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes11c215$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.655527.3%15 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+224.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed No60c205.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No71c200.04$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.041163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b6…9d5ebacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…2194backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No66c173.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507521.3%16 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4b…5f8bbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea16…f145backed Yes31c152.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-74.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed No70c143.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Yes31c120.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes34c120.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed No44c109$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes34c108.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes69c103.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.232737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes70c98.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8874…0b31backed No72c95.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes33c95.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…06a9backed No70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x642f…31fcbacked No68c82.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes60c81.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked No70c70.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.786942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…f9e9backed Yes65c62.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes73c62.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.495459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…5144backed Yes65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3284…6017backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996f…fb2cbacked Yes67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c38.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5112955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0837926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e6…5468backed Yes63c34.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes68c32.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1836…031ebacked No67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.920042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked No58c25.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes79c25.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes71c23.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c21.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.829561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.