TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2b6…9d5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$306
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$72.8
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$390
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$330
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$130
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$112
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$59.22
Duke vs. Syracusebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$21.5
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$324
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.02
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-10-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United SC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.