College Football · resolved market
West Virginia vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b592db4525f113c1052817586af7d8f66d6182fc616973ab7fa424e4264d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof West Virginia, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed West Virginia | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Arizona State | 78c | 44,320$34,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750.43 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona State | 78c | 30,508$23,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,711.73 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed West Virginia | 22c | 30,447$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710.34 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona State | 80c | 3,949$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.73 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked West Virginia | 20c | 3,448$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.59 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona State | 80c | 3,072$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.25 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed West Virginia | 20c | 2,992$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.31 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed West Virginia | 24c | 2,287$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.87 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 77c | 2,250$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.76 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed West Virginia | 21c | 1,800$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State | 71c | 1,693$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona State | 78c | 1,656$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.34 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona State | 79c | 1,498$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.39 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked West Virginia | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.02 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona State | 79c | 1,127$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…e0fbbacked West Virginia | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Arizona State | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed West Virginia | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed West Virginia | 10c | 972.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked West Virginia | 21c | 959.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed West Virginia | 34c | 880.49$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed West Virginia | 20c | 840.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…d4a4backed Arizona State | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Arizona State | 80c | 597.5$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked West Virginia | 37c | 578.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed West Virginia | 40c | 538.05$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked West Virginia | 27c | 530.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked West Virginia | 27c | 521.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…f12bbacked Arizona State | 79c | 459.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Arizona State | 61c | 451.08$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Arizona State | 80c | 416.25$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia | 21c | 384$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Arizona State | 79c | 367.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Arizona State | 59c | 339.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona State | 77c | 330$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked West Virginia | 36c | 284.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…9d5ebacked West Virginia | 21c | 282$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed West Virginia | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arizona State | 78c | 247.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked West Virginia | 15c | 232.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked West Virginia | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Arizona State | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Arizona State | 77c | 217.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed West Virginia | 5c | 213.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arizona State | 67c | 211$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arizona State | 79c | 206$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Arizona State | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed West Virginia | 20c | 190.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked West Virginia | 21c | 181.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed West Virginia | 21c | 181$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked West Virginia | 7c | 160$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked West Virginia | 20c | 149.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked West Virginia | 24c | 134.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Arizona State | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Arizona State | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked West Virginia | 21c | 120.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Arizona State | 74c | 107.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Arizona State | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Arizona State | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arizona State | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked West Virginia | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arizona State | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Arizona State | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed West Virginia | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed West Virginia | 21c | 97.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Arizona State | 79c | 94.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed West Virginia | 29c | 82.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…43cabacked Arizona State | 55c | 78.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Arizona State | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Arizona State | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Arizona State | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Arizona State | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked West Virginia | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked West Virginia | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…5593backed Arizona State | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Arizona State | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…e2f4backed West Virginia | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Arizona State | 69c | 58.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed West Virginia | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked West Virginia | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed West Virginia | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…6b38backed West Virginia | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed West Virginia | 21c | 47.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked West Virginia | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d8d1backed Arizona State | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Arizona State | 57c | 43.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Arizona State | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Arizona State | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Arizona State | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…85bfbacked Arizona State | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…df20backed Arizona State | 59c | 35.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Arizona State | 75c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Arizona State | 53c | 30.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b17abacked Arizona State | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Arizona State | 78c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Arizona State | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed Arizona State | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Arizona State | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…f4febacked Arizona State | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia vs. Arizona Statethis page
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona State (-10.5)West Virginia won
- Spread: Arizona State (-11.5)West Virginia won
- West Virginia vs. Arizona State: O/U 48.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.