TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x604a…8379

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT7146.5%33 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.8
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$73.72
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Sabres vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$95.43
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Bluesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+167.6%+$182.38
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.67
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$100.83
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2576%19 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+41.6%+$12.48
Penn State vs. Michigan Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+41.9%+$9.21
South Alabama vs. UL Monroebacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.34
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Marshall vs. Georgia Statebacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+38.1%+$8.38
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.7%+$27.87
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+34.7%+$27.78
Air Force vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.4%+$13.37
South Florida vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Troy vs. Old Dominionbacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Missouri State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Temple vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$20.98
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$17.56
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.65
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.08
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.17
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Wizards vs. Thunderbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.98
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$41.27
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.38
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Czechia win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+235.1%+$47.02
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Italy win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.27
Will Lithuania vs. Israel end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.77
Will Thailand win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.2%+$5.44
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-81.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Siena Saints vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$10
North Florida Ospreys vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed Betera Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Dynamo Eclot (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on October 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.