South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57d54469efda5d4bd67fbf54770b144e1665cb6b588b59da66aafe20c2dd555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 5,650$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 37c | 4,402$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.83 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed No | 68c | 1,558$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,311$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 1,082$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.61 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,075$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 74c | 440.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 30c | 429.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 35c | 251.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…9fe1backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked Yes | 35c | 167.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 147.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 141.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 55c | 133$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 63c | 52.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Yes | 39c | 38.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Yes | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…0b71backed Yes | 41c | 36.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 70c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 63c | 21.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…3d78backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.