South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd388d710075b7aee6b989d5f1cdd8c01a67506352f226068b867fe4960c440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 62c | 12,120$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.72 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 18c | 3,337$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,105$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.55 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 1,066$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,046$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 64c | 221$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 16c | 131.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 64c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 99.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 71c | 92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 88.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 70c | 76.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 38c | 65.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Yes | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked No | 65c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 79c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.