TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x981f…cf4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.52
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.14
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$186.12
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$121.6
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Tanzania win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Thailand win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$38.6
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$80.99
Macarthur FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$208.79
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$211.2
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$62.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Preußen Münster vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$177
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$82.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$93.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.