Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a92842f84e09d6ebc26b44dd50953ed4e57cae4519d92902becc34105ddb33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 47c | 9,647$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 0c | 9,646$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 4,563$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.5 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes | 14c | 2,867$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,806$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.26 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 51c | 2,800$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.11 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 54c | 1,413$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Yes | 46c | 1,277$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 49c | 1,088$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,008$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 861.1$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 54c | 814.22$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 783.39$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.77 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 767.5$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 703.87$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 47c | 676.49$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 586.19$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 487.44$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 20c | 414.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…e502backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 365$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 54c | 278.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 274.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 245.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 23c | 243.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes | 54c | 170.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 74c | 163.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 47c | 156.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 79c | 153.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 34c | 150.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked No | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 15c | 106.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 29c | 102.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca60…5f6cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 53c | 94.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 86.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 24c | 78.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 27c | 73.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 72.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…8bd0backed No | 51c | 71.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 53c | 65.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 40c | 62.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…2324backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Yes | 52c | 48.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…6f66backed Yes | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…66b3backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…921cbacked No | 49c | 40.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 49c | 37.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 48c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Yes | 51c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 47c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0460backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.