TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe02a…8e83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.99
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.38
CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.85
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$33.99
Club León FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.2%+$178.93
Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+45.5%+$25
CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$42
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$42
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26.85
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$213
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-0.5)backed CA Vélez Sarsfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$164
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$100.8
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$155.55
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$192.5
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+244.8%+$142
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$16.1
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 18 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$250.39
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$57.2
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.2
Adelaide United FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.34
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+426.3%+$162
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+106.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+125.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.84per pick17cpaid+534.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+669.2%+$348
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 3: Carole Monnet vs Dominika Salkovabacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
FC Lorient vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.