South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcef449f0b1e11f8cd13e37eb9fac6aee9e15d3331c04c1b8db26f436bee1ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 7,513$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.09 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 5,242$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.1 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,712$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 463.14$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 365.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 48c | 356.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 46c | 251.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 208.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 158.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 35c | 144.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…e608backed Over | 50c | 107.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 99.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 70c | 94.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 60c | 72.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 56c | 61.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 60c | 40.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 35c | 40.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 55c | 31.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 26.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 59c | 21.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 59c | 21.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.