South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4cdbe4883363bedab6be31e9e56c3457d80b0ab66bafdc20412ae91cbf08c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Audax CS Italianoof CR Vasco da Gama, Audax CS Italiano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CR Vasco da Gama | 44c | 30,844$13,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,571.35 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 9,896$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 8,854$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 4,692$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.66 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 3,470$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed CR Vasco da Gama | 44c | 3,099$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.73 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 2,217$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 1,456$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.43 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Audax CS Italiano | 55c | 967.18$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 794.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.59 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 646.47$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.45 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 362.52$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Audax CS Italiano | 79c | 321.58$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Audax CS Italiano | 55c | 239$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 215.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked CR Vasco da Gama | 46c | 211.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 185.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 145.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CR Vasco da Gama | 24c | 114.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 19c | 113.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CR Vasco da Gama | 21c | 113.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed CR Vasco da Gama | 44c | 89.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 75.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…ffa8backed Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 31.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 30.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Audax CS Italiano | 55c | 21.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Audax CS Italiano | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Audax CS Italiano | 56c | 17.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.