Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a257e4449bf9a7e7d6859d0b37084f9dd6ca13994149c5c770f0fcbb5fbe758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 29,472$11,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,117.36 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 68c | 28,960$19,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,267.89 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 25,918$15,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,651.02 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 36c | 22,309$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.68 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 20,425$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.26 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 64c | 16,000$10,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 32c | 5,889$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.15 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 4,902$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 4,799$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 4,346$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 3,290$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.26 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.01 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 66c | 2,999$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.79 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,958$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 41c | 2,737$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.89 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 2,247$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,200$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 60c | 1,846$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 68c | 1,773$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.93 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 1,706$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 53c | 1,644$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 1,465$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.76 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 67c | 1,182$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 1,109$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 35c | 1,087$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23a9…9ebfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,055$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 1,038$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 32c | 992.79$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.49 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 34c | 974.63$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.25 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 31c | 964.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 45c | 798$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 64c | 780$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 551.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 489.74$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 436.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 430.3$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 429.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…4be7backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes | 67c | 365.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a5…86dcbacked No | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Yes | 63c | 349.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 59c | 340.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 65c | 298.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 32c | 295$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 64c | 279.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 33c | 277.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 60c | 275.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 254$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 34c | 245.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…b5a9backed Yes | 62c | 237.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 67c | 216.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 11c | 216.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…8778backed Yes | 51c | 215.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 206.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 36c | 206.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 59c | 186.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1e…48c4backed Yes | 67c | 174$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1a7abacked Yes | 67c | 171.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 65c | 169.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 59c | 168.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…d107backed No | 34c | 164.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 32c | 158.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…1f68backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.