TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bb0…b0dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Devils vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$99.67
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$135
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$97.55
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$258.26
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$215.29
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+270.4%+$270.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$78.06
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$122.37
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$153.23
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$175
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.