TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Devils50c59,000$29,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,571.9710349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Sabres49c33,708$16,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,516.6915953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Sabres50c29,763$14,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,881.747850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Sabres50c25,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9910356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,35042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Devils50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils50c9,000$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.941,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Sabres50c8,995$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres34c8,191$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.471,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres43c8,000$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Devils66c7,775$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.2524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Sabres50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5005848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres50c6,495$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.8447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Devils51c4,972$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.5510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres50c4,455$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2142,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Sabres49c3,333$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.1722546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Devils50c3,120$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56015954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Devils77c3,052$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.388952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Sabres51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5305446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Devils49c2,608$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1629651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…dadcbacked Sabres50c2,554$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3247…9c06backed Devils51c2,510$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Devils50c2,498$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Devils49c2,222$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.2275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sabres48c2,117$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.6283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Devils50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Devils49c1,970$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.587546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Devils54c1,694$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.971,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Sabres50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80061959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Sabres51c1,405$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.364047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres50c1,389$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.231,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres47c1,067$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.511,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Devils50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Devils51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Devils50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Sabres49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x341e…3cf4backed Sabres50c938$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6e…55c8backed Sabres50c934$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f3…efd6backed Devils51c919.61$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Devils51c919.34$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b94…242abacked Devils51c915.69$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40838046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sabres48c698.26$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres49c671.86$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Devils52c637.67$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.911,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Devils66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20419645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Devils52c592.31$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.312842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Sabres14c570.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7713448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres49c558$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.421,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Devils51c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Devils67c507.93$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.626547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sabres16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8082043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Sabres50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Sabres50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Devils50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres24c495.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.51,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Sabres50c490.4$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.21,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils73c448.78$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…2bd9backed Sabres50c442$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x232a…3965backed Devils51c441.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Sabres50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres50c396$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Devils52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.85064%32 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c72…eb65backed Sabres3c377.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Devils50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Devils51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae5e…dfc2backed Sabres51c285.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8b…6f1dbacked Devils50c283.2$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Sabres42c275$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.548050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…726fbacked Devils53c271.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Sabres43c258$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9414447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres49c240.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0927143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Devils52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.778052.5%42 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils50c224$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Devils49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.274951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabres5c208.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.872,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Sabres48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Sabres49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Devils48c202.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2919942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Sabres49c201.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6448452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Devils52c201$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.529850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Devils50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009754.6%53 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Sabres49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9836652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sabres34c188.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Sabres49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…d5a6backed Devils66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+58.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Devils66c170.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1127357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sabres50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Sabres51c152.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0219851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Devils49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.548046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed Sabres9c140.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+93.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3205…d8ccbacked Devils52c119$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.