Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bdad2607cbe70384c9754fab8ac43de2d63ba46fe05c3c4ff10adb7a275198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 4,186$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.3 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 3,498$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.52 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 60c | 2,465$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 2,284$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 48c | 954.8$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 65c | 908.69$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 62c | 642.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 35c | 577.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 523.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.38 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 54c | 463.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 62c | 445.84$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 383.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 24c | 379.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 362.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 40c | 357.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 34c | 264.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 60c | 225.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 62c | 220.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 61c | 179.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 156.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Yes | 61c | 147.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 62c | 127.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9d52backed Yes | 61c | 81.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…932abacked Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 43c | 69.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…50f0backed Yes | 52c | 57.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…ff24backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…3e45backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 45c | 35.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-24?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.