TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab52…5487

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$58.93
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+89.7%+$62.79
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+125.9%+$37.78
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Patriots (-1.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$44.05
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.28
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.24
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.48
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.58
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.75
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.