TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Tennessee Volunteers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,606,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,836,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,606,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Michigan Wolverines53c280,357$148,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,767.926245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Tennessee Volunteers47c179,740$84,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,897.9846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Tennessee Volunteers47c140,000$65,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,799.893842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Michigan Wolverines68c134,831$91,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,884.9717742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Tennessee Volunteers48c113,095$54,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,285.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Tennessee Volunteers47c106,676$50,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,549.7219950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Michigan Wolverines80c98,495$78,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,162.8125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Michigan Wolverines52c78,310$40,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,588.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Tennessee Volunteers49c77,979$38,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,530.0724351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Michigan Wolverines52c74,302$38,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,607.844047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Michigan Wolverines52c69,062$35,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,182.141,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa41…a7a1backed Michigan Wolverines53c56,119$29,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,387.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c51,546$24,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,781.572445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Michigan Wolverines52c49,562$25,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,789.971,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers47c43,552$20,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,649.612,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Tennessee Volunteers48c40,631$19,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,496.9317643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines80c37,564$29,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,580.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Michigan Wolverines50c30,739$15,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,493.583850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Michigan Wolverines53c30,406$16,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,367.952646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Michigan Wolverines51c21,358$10,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,464.94551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Michigan Wolverines52c20,778$10,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,973.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Tennessee Volunteers51c19,984$10,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,191.7160949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Tennessee Volunteers51c19,825$10,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,110.795740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Michigan Wolverines53c17,087$9,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,030.761,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines79c16,153$12,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.252,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Michigan Wolverines51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Michigan Wolverines51c11,666$5,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,720.962661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines66c11,573$7,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.433,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Michigan Wolverines44c11,266$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,308.761450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Tennessee Volunteers47c10,641$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.328148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Tennessee Volunteers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Tennessee Volunteers47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9836944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Michigan Wolverines49c9,956$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,077.6410448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Michigan Wolverines53c9,913$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.026127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Michigan Wolverines50c9,824$4,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,947.8710749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Michigan Wolverines49c9,765$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,979.992544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Tennessee Volunteers52c9,331$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.481216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Michigan Wolverines53c8,230$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,867.871838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tennessee Volunteers47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,760560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Michigan Wolverines52c7,930$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.451936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Tennessee Volunteers1c7,794$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.395437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines77c7,627$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.511,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Michigan Wolverines51c7,139$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.4418744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0447…3cd9backed Tennessee Volunteers49c6,073$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.761861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Tennessee Volunteers50c6,061$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan Wolverines49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb331…1786backed Tennessee Volunteers51c5,992$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.921471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c5,948$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Tennessee Volunteers50c5,948$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.752119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan Wolverines50c5,765$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.744,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Michigan Wolverines50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Michigan Wolverines49c5,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5404854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Tennessee Volunteers49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Michigan Wolverines49c4,359$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.554360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Michigan Wolverines49c4,358$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.054656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Michigan Wolverines64c4,348$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.3719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c4,163$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.392828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Tennessee Volunteers50c3,982$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.29244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Michigan Wolverines52c3,793$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.6914325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Tennessee Volunteers51c3,452$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.331926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Michigan Wolverines49c3,318$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.85060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Tennessee Volunteers49c3,143$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.073545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Tennessee Volunteers49c3,015$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.675933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Michigan Wolverines49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5303345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Michigan Wolverines49c2,984$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.253,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Michigan Wolverines53c2,864$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.22657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Michigan Wolverines49c2,864$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.8723149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Tennessee Volunteers47c2,811$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.8174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Michigan Wolverines52c2,669$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michigan Wolverines47c2,479$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.081,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Michigan Wolverines48c2,399$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.45541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Michigan Wolverines49c2,339$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tennessee Volunteers19c2,135$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8814728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5225…5732backed Michigan Wolverines49c2,050$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Tennessee Volunteers50c2,041$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.827938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers48c2,010$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Michigan Wolverines50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0105740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Michigan Wolverines50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Michigan Wolverines50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Michigan Wolverines50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Tennessee Volunteers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Michigan Wolverines50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Tennessee Volunteers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Michigan Wolverines51c1,983$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Michigan Wolverines52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0450548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tennessee Volunteers49c1,851$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.511,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Tennessee Volunteers50c1,711$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.4584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Michigan Wolverines49c1,603$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdff…b3dcbacked Michigan Wolverines50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michigan Wolverines48c1,451$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.721,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,448$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.6719147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Michigan Wolverines49c1,289$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.213356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Michigan Wolverines54c1,263$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.243959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Michigan Wolverines74c1,255$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.298246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c1,213$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Michigan Wolverines50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c1,195$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.116336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Tennessee Volunteers49c1,190$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.93812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tennessee Volunteers50c1,181$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.293650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Tennessee Volunteers49c1,167$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.