TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$466,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c249,583$124,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,791.3189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c52,021$26,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,010.41,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under50c45,065$22,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,538.132646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under16c42,223$6,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.6525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c40,364$20,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,177.38148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under50c20,257$10,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,128.432650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Over49c19,136$9,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,699.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c16,320$8,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,138.6646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c15,822$7,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,911.1717643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c13,922$6,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,043.261,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7814…c0dbbacked Under50c10,160$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under50c9,301$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.451250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c8,999$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.381546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under51c8,805$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.644654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Over76c7,350$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.93053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c7,134$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.581,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under50c5,948$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under50c4,978$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.039244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c4,062$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.7223243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under50c3,825$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.6274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c3,176$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over49c3,034$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.572119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under50c2,767$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.555149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under50c2,528$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.8426254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over49c2,527$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.815341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under4c2,471$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c2,390$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.9525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under50c2,194$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.8315850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under40c2,058$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.954944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05bf…1ab0backed Over50c1,784$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over59c1,662$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3123149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under39c1,607$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1914728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,585$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79218744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…1f3fbacked Over79c1,397$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c1,396$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under50c1,388$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c1,372$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.8618048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over49c1,305$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.373650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over68c1,174$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.682,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under50c1,151$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c991.25$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.713435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c959.53$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over61c936.64$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c303backed Over50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under40c877.21$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over57c814$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4619147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Over51c775.7$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.11850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed Under50c726$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c651.84$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.921,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under50c642.33$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1785248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under50c594.75$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over50c564.04$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.028845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under15c553.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.135127.5%14 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under37c497.4$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0431646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under20c488.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.498754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under55c450.61$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Over50c396.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under52c381.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2518846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over57c371.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.019352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c365.29$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.593,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under31c333.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2122250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Over63c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under34c300.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under44c297.41$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8644146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Over49c294.28$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.083043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5f…1070backed Under40c271.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c245.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.286459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Over51c242.95$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under37c240.25$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7719522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over48c211.54$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over57c211.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.24,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c210.47$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2416650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over67c203.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.082646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1378052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8b…ed36backed Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c195.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.867749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under51c191.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1316253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Under52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under54c185.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1311844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.