Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7abbd91a99c47a2318b8c1490ca65607f00f9589ba06d920faeff8763bb5417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 15,977$7,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.96 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 55c | 15,572$8,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,014.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Over | 53c | 7,940$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.8 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 4,074$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.81 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 3,582$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Under | 47c | 3,094$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Under | 47c | 3,087$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Over | 52c | 2,800$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 51c | 2,359$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.86 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,855$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.91 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 1,397$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Over | 53c | 1,005$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.31 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 971.05$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.68 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 850$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 49c | 611.86$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.12 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 601.48$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 597.53$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Over | 54c | 414.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 261.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 226.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Over | 53c | 226.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 207.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 49c | 167.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 121.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 113.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…8866backed Under | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 65.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 49c | 39.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 37.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 32.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 47c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…3aebbacked Over | 67c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Over | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-19.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.