TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a7e…1cc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT8429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265.68
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.58
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.18
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.93
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.15
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.38
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,666.5
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.92
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,699.83
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,777.5
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,260.59
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.45
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.51
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,289.74
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.26
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,699.8
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.84
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$589.35
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.33
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,888.58
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT5635.7%20 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,333.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,834.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$949.86
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.39
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+281.2%+$12,878.18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,728.2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.09
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,288.07
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.46
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.84
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16,780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$9,880.63
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.37
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,797Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$1,202.95
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,812.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$11,348.42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,724.31
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$3,446.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,269.99
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,719.26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,344.87
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,599.95
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,520
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.8
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,705
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$6,073.71
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,680
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$110
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,066.01
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$4,320
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,025
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,699.98
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.64
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,733.68
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,266.62
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,657.64
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.95
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,399.46
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,320.68
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,795Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,794.87
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+361.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$173.16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$447.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$300.81
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$144.3
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$41,296.27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$6,110.9
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016.16
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$322
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.79
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$255.76
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,809.32
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,280
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$63.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$13,679.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,783.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,966Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150.8%+$4,473.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$364.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,192.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.