NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300fd4c68bc5ce70eef2ac8ca5be22d457bfa4c0629b3159c6e0ea035ea87082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Over | 54c | 330,947$177,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,325.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 140,603$65,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,794.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 46c | 75,000$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 47c | 66,666$31,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,333.02 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 46c | 57,734$26,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,557.79 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 44,555$23,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,386.28 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 36,250$16,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,903.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 21,047$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,854.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 13,573$7,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.15 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 53c | 9,917$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.05 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 5,102$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.96 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 3,037$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.61 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,485$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 48c | 2,108$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.84 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 52c | 2,075$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.17 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 1,515$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under | 50c | 1,364$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.84 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Over | 50c | 1,340$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.38 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 48c | 1,039$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.93 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 954.05$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 921.08$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 889.39$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.01 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 51c | 873.54$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.03 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 48c | 726.71$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 616.37$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 48c | 609.67$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Over | 51c | 548.1$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Under | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 47c | 474.44$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 464.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 439.06$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 431.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Over | 48c | 393.23$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 389.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 360.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under | 51c | 356.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 47c | 350.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Over | 54c | 316.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 52c | 288.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 225.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 54c | 208.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 48c | 194.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 190.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Over | 47c | 149.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 47c | 143.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 50c | 136.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 49c | 123.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 47c | 113.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 51c | 107.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…0f34backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Under | 51c | 101.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 48c | 101.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 101.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 99.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 51c | 99.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 25c | 98.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…6bb6backed Under | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 21c | 81.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Over | 53c | 78.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 48c | 72.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…7feebacked Under | 23c | 72.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 53c | 66.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 49c | 58.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 48c | 57.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 48c | 56.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…8e26backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 50.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…148ebacked Over | 73c | 50.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 50.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Under | 53c | 47.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 33c | 44.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Over | 55c | 41.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Bucks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-22.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.