TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fdd…a037

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.87
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.37
Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.89
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.57
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$70.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$20.88
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$23.81
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.79
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$24.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.56
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.01
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.24
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.48
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.77
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.68
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$34.09
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.41
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.31
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.85
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.83
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.33
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.58
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$52.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.44
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.28
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.52
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.73
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.17
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.38
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.3
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$15.88
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.14
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.75
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.84
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.84
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.63
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.76
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.97
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$17.39
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$18.67
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$11.54
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$34.07
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$18.89
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$12.24
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.9
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$199.81
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$83.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.46
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+176.4%+$50.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$62.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$20.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$23.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will AZ win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.45
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$92.63
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+72.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$93.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SK Brann win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.