TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof New York Yankees, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b3f…3446backed New York Yankees46c133,473$61,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,397.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Athletics54c82,224$44,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,829.1750553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics54c68,044$36,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,369.741,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked New York Yankees47c20,600$9,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,68254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Yankees45c7,684$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.7518241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed New York Yankees46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4503145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees46c5,468$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.0536649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Athletics53c4,305$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.1965050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Athletics62c3,150$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.652751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Athletics54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees12c2,892$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Athletics54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Athletics53c2,453$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.121,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked New York Yankees46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Athletics54c1,894$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.8916453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked New York Yankees48c1,600$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.277948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked New York Yankees47c1,266$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.976243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Athletics55c1,253$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.951,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked New York Yankees46c1,226$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.965950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Athletics53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0714156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Athletics53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed New York Yankees46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Athletics55c997.81$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.025455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics54c975$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.016,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Athletics54c787.41$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.811560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8817…3d2cbacked Athletics55c619.18$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed New York Yankees48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6425751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed New York Yankees46c600$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27512552%65 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Athletics55c530.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8330844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.351,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.51,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees7c472.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.051,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Athletics52c453.84$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.846150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed New York Yankees76c453.11$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.724040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.021,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics54c423.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.041,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Athletics52c403.55$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.710157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19041152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees47c387.27$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9334145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Athletics55c353.02$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.865160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics58c332.68$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Athletics55c312.28$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe006…25a1backed Athletics55c305.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd7…33d9backed New York Yankees46c289.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.072751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Athletics53c280.85$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13241051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked New York Yankees48c264.94$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.916747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed New York Yankees48c254.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1121044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees47c250.87$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.911,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Athletics51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.548150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…3c74backed Athletics52c236.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa626…ce10backed New York Yankees49c232.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…79bbbacked New York Yankees47c221.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed New York Yankees44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Athletics54c217.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.26355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked New York Yankees46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7618151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed New York Yankees46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed New York Yankees46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7623156.7%131 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Athletics15c208.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.46229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed New York Yankees48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.887153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics52c190.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.535,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Athletics54c189.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.356248.4%30 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed New York Yankees47c185.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1444348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked New York Yankees49c169.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.150748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked New York Yankees46c157.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.576347.6%30 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Athletics31c154.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.017247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Athletics64c154.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.131,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Athletics54c150.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Athletics53c146.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9466551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked New York Yankees12c146.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4234452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…959abacked New York Yankees46c141.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Athletics53c136.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6baa…b85fbacked Athletics55c135.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed New York Yankees8c132.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6318353.6%98 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees13c131.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed New York Yankees8c131.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5139351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked New York Yankees36c129.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees8c124.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed New York Yankees9c118.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6413343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked New York Yankees9c116.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees44c112.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.396,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed New York Yankees45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459745.4%44 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed New York Yankees47c97.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.995448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Athletics56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.843461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5166648.2%321 W · 345 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked New York Yankees46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.518652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed New York Yankees46c95.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0221847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed New York Yankees47c94.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.614944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Athletics52c82.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4531350.2%157 W · 156 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Athletics55c74.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7147848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees46c67.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.171,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked New York Yankees47c65.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043d…1cf1backed New York Yankees47c65.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fdd…a037backed New York Yankees46c64.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.822568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed New York Yankees46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0313144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed New York Yankees46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.033447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Athletics55c61.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8646759.7%279 W · 188 L+2.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked New York Yankees47c61.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.096453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed New York Yankees46c60.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb996…8ac9backed New York Yankees47c60.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed New York Yankees46c59.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2725249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.