MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21bd40027a3c6dac6c3b185217528a26a72ab7f7163639b496eb6e464b931fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,028,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,043,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Athletics | 38c | 281,742$105,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,877.68 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Athletics | 36c | 165,890$59,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,339.15 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed New York Yankees | 64c | 156,249$99,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Yankees | 62c | 119,601$73,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,650.73 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed New York Yankees | 63c | 83,207$52,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,288.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 48,228$30,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,383.29 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Athletics | 36c | 29,999$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.26 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 35c | 25,616$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,740.08 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Yankees | 64c | 21,950$14,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,047.88 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 40c | 17,918$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,738.64 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 35c | 17,058$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,005.63 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 47c | 16,585$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,805.33 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 13,203$7,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,690.34 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed New York Yankees | 67c | 13,196$8,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 12,537$7,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,526.75 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees | 67c | 11,746$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.4 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Athletics | 37c | 10,619$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,674.77 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 66c | 10,000$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Athletics | 36c | 9,634$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.04 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 48c | 9,432$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.43 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed New York Yankees | 39c | 9,398$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 46c | 8,212$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed New York Yankees | 64c | 7,800$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 7,372$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.81 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Athletics | 36c | 7,260$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.67 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 7,227$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed New York Yankees | 64c | 6,884$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked New York Yankees | 64c | 6,645$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.67 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Athletics | 33c | 6,364$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.59 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed New York Yankees | 64c | 6,115$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Yankees | 56c | 6,000$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 64c | 5,822$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.84 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Athletics | 34c | 5,764$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 63c | 5,214$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 5,043$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.62 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 35c | 5,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 4,878$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.13 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 64c | 4,848$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Athletics | 62c | 4,421$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Athletics | 34c | 4,415$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.86 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 36c | 4,177$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.15 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed New York Yankees | 67c | 4,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 34c | 3,595$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.28 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 63c | 3,281$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.87 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Yankees | 65c | 3,249$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.71 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 53c | 3,224$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.76 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Athletics | 69c | 3,005$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,930$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.18 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Yankees | 64c | 2,721$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.55 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Athletics | 36c | 2,650$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.99 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees | 44c | 2,607$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.04 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed New York Yankees | 30c | 2,589$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.32 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed New York Yankees | 65c | 2,463$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked New York Yankees | 68c | 2,462$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 2,371$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.02 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Athletics | 37c | 2,211$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.85 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Athletics | 37c | 2,149$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Athletics | 34c | 2,090$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.29 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed New York Yankees | 65c | 2,061$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 64c | 2,045$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.21 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Athletics | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,963$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.65 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…1732backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,856$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…763bbacked Athletics | 53c | 1,811$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f0…3d5fbacked New York Yankees | 1c | 1,802$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Athletics | 61c | 1,787$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,764$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.19 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Athletics | 38c | 1,732$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.47 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,592$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked New York Yankees | 66c | 1,557$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Athletics | 37c | 1,553$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.09 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…6ce4backed Athletics | 37c | 1,542$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,515$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.69 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,478$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.72 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 1,478$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 1,341$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.55 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 33c | 1,271$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,251$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.72 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,191$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.96 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed New York Yankees | 41c | 1,158$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.58 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed New York Yankees | 33c | 1,150$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.62 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,139$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,125$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.92 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Athletics | 35c | 1,113$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.63 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,100$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics | 35c | 1,084$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.28 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 1,069$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…c9b5backed Athletics | 37c | 1,049$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Athletics | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.04 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Athletics | 34c | 1,010$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…0a0cbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…d942backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Athletics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Athletics | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Athletics | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Athletics | 35c | 990$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 142 | 61.3%87 W · 55 L | +18.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees | 66c | 988.92$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.85 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York YankeesNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.