TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa27e…1732

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2576%19 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$56.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$76.44
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikoribacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$189.25
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$771.38
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.04
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.88
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Darja Semenistajabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$246.44
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$70.89
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$41.48
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+65%+$107.99
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+32%+$39.42
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$87.5
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex Boltbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$74.29
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$30.75
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$253.12
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Akasha Urhobobacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.86
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Liam Draxlbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$176.84
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$164.88
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.84
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.65
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$376.15
Copa Colsanitas: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Despina Papamichailbacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$266.75
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$388.62
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,356.85
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$647.93
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,261.92
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$1,157.02
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$557.75
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.1%+$292.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+32.7%+$147.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.