Tennis · resolved market
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bfaae6854a03030138e75a84918e6bdef5fa2b8bf1f00ed1e214a5ea0e3f3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Merida Aguilarof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 43,433$30,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,579.75 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 38,275$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,594.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 74c | 13,715$10,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Adrian Mannarino | 51c | 12,287$6,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,311.71 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 61c | 11,443$7,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.42 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 77c | 9,489$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 42c | 8,754$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 8,487$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.06 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 77c | 8,110$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.28 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 5,753$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 5,532$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.3 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 5,337$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.08 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 4,681$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…da10backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 4,471$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 4,268$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Adrian Mannarino | 69c | 4,252$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.66 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 3,727$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 3,080$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.38 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Adrian Mannarino | 3c | 2,910$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…90dcbacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 2,848$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 2,455$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.11 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 2,435$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.24 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 2,308$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.27 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 2,308$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.65 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 1,956$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 1,952$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.83 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 1,937$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.29 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Adrian Mannarino | 55c | 1,885$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.68 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 73c | 1,744$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.45 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Adrian Mannarino | 70c | 1,653$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.84 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.91 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 47c | 1,479$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 1,447$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Adrian Mannarino | 80c | 1,446$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.09 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 1,233$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…87b8backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 1,130$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 1,087$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.91 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 984.7$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…8e58backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5115backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 970.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 968.85$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.98 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 943.47$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 926.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 906.48$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Adrian Mannarino | 79c | 904.68$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.72 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 64c | 898.36$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 60c | 875.57$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…2f82backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 859.52$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 850.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 829.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 751.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 735.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Adrian Mannarino | 55c | 728.79$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 719.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 709.94$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.71 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 70c | 708.93$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 672.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 74c | 664.31$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 47c | 652.74$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 78c | 634.61$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Adrian Mannarino | 5c | 630.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 580.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 568.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 560.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 75c | 558.12$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 557.05$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 73c | 539.47$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 66c | 523.77$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 516.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…cb27backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 511.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Adrian Mannarino | 57c | 510$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 41c | 509.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 494.74$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 78c | 483.53$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Adrian Mannarino | 64c | 465.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 461.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 53c | 439$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.28 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Adrian Mannarino | 79c | 433.23$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 422.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 418.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 416.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Adrian Mannarino | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 401.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 391.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Adrian Mannarino | 52c | 389.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 388.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 366.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…1933backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 366.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 67c | 365.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 355.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 343.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Aguilar vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs MannarinoMannarino won
- Set Handicap: Aguilar (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Mannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.