TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0b1…1933

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.37
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.09
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$183.11
Menorca: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Ivan Gakhovbacked Ivan Gakhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.75
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$15.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.88
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$84.15
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$52.63
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$169.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.