AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6827bd1917f702f1858bec56fc431753cce59b92e93cdba8a60fd1730d5b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $821,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $821,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 100,050$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Yes | 9c | 25,092$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 22,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…70a5backed Yes | 0c | 22,374$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…9a75backed Yes | 0c | 13,751$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,949$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,704$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…bc03backed Yes | 1c | 10,706$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…3804backed Yes | 0c | 9,626$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,554$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 101 | 0%0 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…b278backed Yes | 3c | 9,330$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,406$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…1933backed Yes | 2c | 7,660$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…be3ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,920$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,429$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…e2d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,406$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Yes | 0c | 4,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 4,904$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…0e83backed Yes | 1c | 4,715$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,036$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…31d3backed Yes | 7c | 3,897$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,728$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 3,471$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 1c | 3,415$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…283ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,312$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 3,242$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,220$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…5840backed Yes | 2c | 3,171$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…cdaabacked Yes | 1c | 3,128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…12b9backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…4f09backed Yes | 2c | 2,958$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 2,936$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 2,918$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 5c | 2,894$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,886$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…a5fabacked Yes | 1c | 2,690$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…a8b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,610$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…3404backed Yes | 3c | 2,359$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,342$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…ad24backed Yes | 11c | 2,300$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…a0b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,267$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…2955backed Yes | 3c | 2,266$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…658fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,247$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…59f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,163$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4e…0876backed Yes | 1c | 2,142$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…cf0ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 1c | 2,096$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…7159backed Yes | 1c | 2,023$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…ab97backed Yes | 1c | 1,999$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…3776backed Yes | 1c | 1,988$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…d6a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,950$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…bbabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,836$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 2c | 1,816$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,811$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 1,784$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…925cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,776$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…5588backed Yes | 1c | 1,751$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…a3fdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,734$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…3a53backed Yes | 1c | 1,729$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…d47ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,723$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…0954backed Yes | 6c | 1,696$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…7327backed Yes | 3c | 1,640$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…34a5backed Yes | 4c | 1,630$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d53bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,629$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…5da8backed Yes | 2c | 1,608$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 4c | 1,594$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…9177backed Yes | 9c | 1,584$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,577$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,570$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…37bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,532$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…9aa9backed Yes | 1c | 1,530$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 1,509$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e33…e9c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,461$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…89e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,445$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…5cc8backed Yes | 1c | 1,415$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…267dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,399$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…05a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,328$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 3c | 1,324$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,310$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…85e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,301$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0259backed Yes | 7c | 1,293$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…7fdebacked Yes | 4c | 1,288$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…71ffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,264$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,257$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…cc18backed Yes | 2c | 1,229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…6a54backed Yes | 4c | 1,222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…0ad9backed Yes | 3c | 1,171$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…0addbacked Yes | 3c | 1,128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…4addbacked Yes | 14c | 1,115$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,082$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9457backed Yes | 1c | 1,036$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…fcd5backed Yes | 10c | 1,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…a787backed Yes | 1c | 1,015$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…c55ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,006$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…caf1backed Yes | 1c | 1,005$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…3c23backed Yes | 1c | 1,005$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44b…3553backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.