AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243e72a3dd07604c0e27d14fda13e2ad5248b201379c56deb5c4655984d7385f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 86,186$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 21,098$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 5c | 14,127$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 1c | 11,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 9,056$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,025$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…c404backed Yes | 2c | 7,589$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…6075backed Yes | 3c | 5,187$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…e2d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 14c | 5,009$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…e7bfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,366$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…263abacked Yes | 1c | 4,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…8689backed Yes | 1c | 3,846$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 7c | 3,569$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e1…cf05backed Yes | 5c | 3,325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…4712backed Yes | 6c | 3,198$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…3ec4backed Yes | 17c | 2,927$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 2,732$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 10c | 2,480$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…5da8backed Yes | 1c | 2,472$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…54e4backed Yes | 2c | 2,406$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 2,263$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,248$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 14c | 2,199$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 2,189$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…b650backed Yes | 1c | 2,184$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 5c | 2,151$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,083$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb9…987dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,991$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,949$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…811bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,908$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…f1efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…2716backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…d858backed Yes | 7c | 1,652$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…4fb2backed Yes | 6c | 1,632$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,587$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…f5cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,581$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…711dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,494$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,467$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed Yes | 11c | 1,461$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,424$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…cc70backed Yes | 7c | 1,371$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,331$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,331$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 1,309$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…57d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…bdb9backed Yes | 7c | 1,215$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…6c71backed Yes | 9c | 1,194$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…9ab3backed Yes | 7c | 1,171$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55a…0c7fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,160$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed Yes | 1c | 1,132$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…5252backed Yes | 7c | 1,118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,116$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…5c25backed Yes | 9c | 1,054$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…e267backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…1247backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…6c31backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 958.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936c…e413backed Yes | 11c | 925.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes | 9c | 902.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…ee13backed Yes | 8c | 898.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff64…73c5backed Yes | 5c | 895$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 890.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 866.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…b0c9backed Yes | 11c | 862.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…9b14backed Yes | 7c | 822$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…e4f5backed Yes | 6c | 795.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 775.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…8637backed Yes | 7c | 756$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…68cfbacked Yes | 8c | 755.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 754.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…9a77backed Yes | 6c | 708$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 699.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a75…b6c1backed Yes | 7c | 693$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb6…f660backed Yes | 11c | 680$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…ab24backed Yes | 6c | 673$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e1…1bbfbacked Yes | 1c | 672.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…91c0backed Yes | 6c | 666$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 6c | 650$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…cde3backed Yes | 4c | 649$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…4551backed Yes | 5c | 638.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 12c | 614.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…288bbacked Yes | 14c | 599.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 599.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 13c | 572.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 6c | 572.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…c94bbacked Yes | 18c | 563.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…658fbacked Yes | 18c | 557.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810e…9332backed Yes | 9c | 552.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…433ebacked Yes | 7c | 551$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 544.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…1553backed Yes | 2c | 519.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 10c | 509.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 3c | 500.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 7c | 481.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 7c | 476$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.