AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad080aab1cc1549d2dcefc782461969e89a63329a643506ee85ae9682140dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 40,903$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 24,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 20,310$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…2468backed Yes | 1c | 17,799$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…f73abacked Yes | 1c | 15,267$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,668$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 0c | 9,974$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…f4c6backed Yes | 1c | 8,088$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…0a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,987$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 5,121$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…3804backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 0c | 4,258$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 0c | 4,127$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Yes | 0c | 4,044$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e76…73b6backed Yes | 1c | 4,008$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 3,891$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.05 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,799$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,678$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…fc48backed Yes | 1c | 3,641$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…33d8backed Yes | 8c | 3,507$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 9c | 3,159$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…2fcebacked Yes | 5c | 2,991$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 2,929$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,868$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 1c | 2,683$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 2,343$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc77…5a6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 2,228$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4e…0876backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 1c | 1,840$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 4c | 1,733$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…0ecdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,630$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3c46backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,494$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Yes | 1c | 1,473$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,452$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…ad2fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,318$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed Yes | 14c | 1,260$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…cd72backed Yes | 9c | 1,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…a045backed Yes | 21c | 1,129$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 8c | 1,096$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…0513backed Yes | 7c | 1,085$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…0c7fbacked Yes | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 2c | 955.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…a73cbacked Yes | 10c | 951.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…31dfbacked Yes | 2c | 943.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 877.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…e4f5backed Yes | 6c | 853.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…85e1backed Yes | 12c | 828.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 70c | 823.7$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…219bbacked Yes | 4c | 802$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…d100backed Yes | 6c | 791.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…5840backed Yes | 7c | 762.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 754.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b4…d486backed Yes | 16c | 748.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…e4d9backed Yes | 30c | 663.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…5f13backed Yes | 32c | 662.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 621.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…252ebacked Yes | 14c | 617.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 79c | 593.35$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…e3a2backed Yes | 17c | 574.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 571.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1d…bd7bbacked Yes | 19c | 535.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…3481backed Yes | 9c | 444.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 413.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 5c | 411.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 359.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 4c | 359.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 352.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 5c | 337.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 6c | 313.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes | 13c | 301.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…714ebacked Yes | 15c | 300.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…b38bbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…043cbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…c965backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…cac3backed Yes | 8c | 253.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 8c | 239.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…e192backed Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…a709backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 16c | 223.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…3055backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…9f1abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…1bfbbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…9f66backed Yes | 14c | 222.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4510backed Yes | 15c | 208.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…41e7backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…19eabacked Yes | 6c | 194.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…c080backed Yes | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2a7dbacked Yes | 14c | 184$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…a242backed Yes | 11c | 180.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…9243backed Yes | 8c | 178.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 14c | 176.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4803…a556backed Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.