AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb67293d7e12d87cf4ba22e4eb89f1eea353b11c6febaf6b9832213c4529367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,638,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,479,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,638,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 1c | 39,198$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 38,366$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 32,250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…1daebacked Yes | 20c | 20,893$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…b057backed Yes | 4c | 18,515$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 18,259$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 17,824$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…52f0backed Yes | 9c | 17,609$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 2c | 12,500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes | 19c | 10,401$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f5…cb09backed Yes | 4c | 8,847$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,826$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…a939backed Yes | 2c | 8,699$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 11c | 7,827$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.06 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9bc3backed Yes | 13c | 7,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…c8c6backed Yes | 4c | 7,128$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…11cabacked Yes | 1c | 6,680$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 0c | 6,604$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…f874backed Yes | 2c | 6,518$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…9ab3backed Yes | 3c | 6,221$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 5,920$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…fadcbacked Yes | 21c | 5,644$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 5,511$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3455…ddccbacked Yes | 2c | 5,478$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 19c | 5,360$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 5,305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 5,127$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687e…540ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,044$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…0e17backed Yes | 2c | 4,975$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625e…2754backed Yes | 1c | 4,950$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Yes | 21c | 4,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…2468backed Yes | 2c | 4,592$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 4,476$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.69 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 16c | 4,338$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0b…8392backed Yes | 17c | 4,264$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 18c | 3,863$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 1c | 3,823$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 3,797$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…e0c1backed Yes | 20c | 3,700$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…5252backed Yes | 3c | 3,512$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…a29ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,419$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…c2d4backed Yes | 12c | 3,321$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65b…b7dcbacked Yes | 4c | 3,218$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…ae2ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,200$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…d269backed Yes | 3c | 3,199$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 3,160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 13c | 3,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…dda5backed Yes | 11c | 3,107$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…d99cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,105$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…c121backed Yes | 17c | 3,051$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…4d6dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,049$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…e4d9backed Yes | 16c | 3,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d02…0734backed Yes | 17c | 2,943$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2dbbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,858$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…7d9fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,835$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,786$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 7c | 2,746$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…2289backed Yes | 19c | 2,681$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Yes | 12c | 2,609$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…a0c6backed Yes | 12c | 2,550$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…1cdbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,506$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…ae33backed Yes | 3c | 2,474$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…7a4abacked Yes | 4c | 2,452$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…04fcbacked Yes | 21c | 2,420$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…1ce2backed Yes | 4c | 2,300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…62e0backed Yes | 5c | 2,247$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…433ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,226$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…2481backed Yes | 4c | 2,223$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…3637backed Yes | 3c | 2,215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…29a7backed Yes | 5c | 2,208$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…07ebbacked Yes | 4c | 2,186$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…f880backed Yes | 5c | 2,170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…668bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,147$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…7f32backed Yes | 2c | 2,112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,078$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…5fbbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,062$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…6e59backed Yes | 15c | 2,058$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,028$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0f74backed Yes | 12c | 2,022$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…1d8fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,940$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…7f3cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,916$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…d149backed Yes | 5c | 1,904$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7c68backed Yes | 9c | 1,868$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…e434backed Yes | 5c | 1,858$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…19e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,803$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cec…09babacked Yes | 3c | 1,802$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…35d1backed Yes | 4c | 1,776$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…d0f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,773$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…3f59backed Yes | 4c | 1,745$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863e…1424backed Yes | 4c | 1,737$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…99ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,731$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…ce1abacked Yes | 5c | 1,689$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 1c | 1,675$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9554…a70cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,672$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…f5f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,671$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.