AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f7dc9439fde732c0586302b1be0d46bc41a917e5338b8924b3557be944dcef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $831,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 857 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes | 0c | 29,997$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…11cabacked Yes | 20c | 20,264$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked No | 57c | 20,149$11,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,686.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…f0d9backed Yes | 15c | 18,670$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…b955backed Yes | 29c | 16,455$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 2c | 16,325$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.72 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,024$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 34c | 12,891$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…3750backed Yes | 19c | 12,509$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…a93dbacked Yes | 19c | 12,193$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 16c | 11,378$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 11,200$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…eca0backed Yes | 53c | 11,055$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5d…2e5ebacked Yes | 13c | 11,004$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,440$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc9…c26cbacked Yes | 25c | 7,751$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…f864backed No | 76c | 7,710$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 71c | 6,810$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.72 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…fcecbacked Yes | 20c | 6,428$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 7c | 6,367$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.37 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,005$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 39c | 5,800$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…2a64backed Yes | 29c | 5,788$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 7c | 5,738$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 5,244$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…e07dbacked Yes | 52c | 5,232$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 1c | 5,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…a359backed Yes | 38c | 4,838$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Yes | 39c | 4,738$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 15c | 4,715$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.17 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,712$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…2468backed Yes | 2c | 4,526$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,488$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1076…4f8bbacked Yes | 61c | 4,259$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2beabacked No | 41c | 4,074$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…0e5abacked Yes | 18c | 4,065$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba2abacked Yes | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 42c | 3,943$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.55 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…f56bbacked No | 58c | 3,840$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…149dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,784$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…4599backed Yes | 25c | 3,432$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…3804backed Yes | 1c | 3,260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 12c | 3,246$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 13c | 3,200$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.04 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea9…bdc1backed No | 64c | 3,043$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 2,963$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.47 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 40c | 2,835$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 1c | 2,718$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…6749backed Yes | 19c | 2,700$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed Yes | 38c | 2,627$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 9c | 2,583$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 77c | 2,513$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.69 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab49…34e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,430$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 34c | 2,282$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4a8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,259$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0547backed Yes | 18c | 2,252$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,233$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 54c | 2,128$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.08 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…1446backed Yes | 24c | 2,123$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 71c | 2,059$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.48 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 62c | 1,998$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.25 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…e0cabacked Yes | 14c | 1,961$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 30c | 1,900$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 41c | 1,894$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 1,885$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.2 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed Yes | 37c | 1,819$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f78…f3a0backed Yes | 30c | 1,713$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 11c | 1,696$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 16c | 1,681$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09f…a5adbacked Yes | 22c | 1,678$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 42c | 1,600$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,566$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…73bebacked Yes | 40c | 1,564$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…2bdebacked Yes | 33c | 1,527$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6141…eadabacked No | 42c | 1,516$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,482$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,459$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…834abacked Yes | 18c | 1,427$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 27c | 1,412$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 1,410$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…e9ebbacked Yes | 25c | 1,406$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,383$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 55c | 1,369$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.06 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked No | 75c | 1,369$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…7e61backed Yes | 22c | 1,367$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 60c | 1,353$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…f874backed Yes | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Yes | 32c | 1,333$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…760abacked Yes | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed Yes | 33c | 1,316$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…38e8backed Yes | 27c | 1,315$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…7560backed Yes | 1c | 1,258$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 40c | 1,200$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…ec07backed Yes | 1c | 1,113$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.