TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5669…0f13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT8140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63%+$116.38
Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$44.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.41
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.7
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.1
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$264.66
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.35
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$105.9
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.2
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$75.06
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.25
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5356.6%30 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.62
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.71
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.2
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$109.1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$227.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$604.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$109.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$62.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$936.14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$41.73
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 6 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166.42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.32
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$24.99
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 2?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$155.4
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$284.71
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$2,580.27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.1
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+319.1%+$412.39
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69%+$126.55
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$78.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$85.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$247.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$579.69
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$506.12
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46.5
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+483.3%+$96.84
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$1,348.08
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.34
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$250.31
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.85
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.62
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.55
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.92
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.37
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.43
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$121.65
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-89.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.03
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.04
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.73
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$231.96
Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will King Charles say "Starmer" during State Opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.05
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+111.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+286%+$59.28
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.59
Will Mac Forehand (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+41.6%+$14.7
Will Megan Oldhamm (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+747.9%+$85.3
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+142%+$31.69
Will Flora Tabanelli (ITA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.8%+$37.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+198%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick24cpaid+308.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+374.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+142.4%+$47
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$31.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.